PrepTest 157, Section 4, Question 12

DetailDifficulty1 of 5
Passage 2Prediction markets as information processors or opinion measures
The questionFull text in your LawHub copy of PrepTest 157

Passage A Markets, such as stock exchanges, distill(484 more words not shown)

Passage A(279 more words not shown)

Passage B(213 more words not shown)

Passage B, but not passage(14 more words not shown)

Reading the passage

B's racetrack comparison makes its account concrete: the apparent condition of a horse changes expectations and therefore the odds. We need something B uses that A does not. An item mentioned in A fails that requirement even if B also mentions it.

Working the answers

  • A

    Neither account discusses market crashes. A criticism of a prediction is not a description of a crash.

  • B
    Correct

    B explicitly asks us to “Think of markets as racetracks” and follows the horse's apparent condition through changes in the odds. A's examples are election contracts and a fictional-stock experiment; it doesn't use racetracks.

  • C

    A discusses the two traders given “inside knowledge” and says everyone soon behaved like insiders. That alone rules it out for a B-but-not-A question.

  • D

    A compares the Iowa market with election polls, and B also compares markets to polls. This is shared material.

  • E

    A explains how participants buy and sell contracts paying a dollar if a candidate wins. Contracts therefore cannot be the reference unique to B.

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