PrepTest 158, Section 4, Question 8

Role/Main PointDifficulty2 of 5
The questionFull text in your LawHub copy of PrepTest 158

Climatologist: The waters off the Pacific coast of(57 more words not shown)

Which one of the following(11 more words not shown)

Reading the argument

The water got warmer. The dispute is over what that tells us.

Some scientists read the fifteen-year temperature rise as a symptom of global warming caused by human-generated pollution. The climatologist pushes back: ocean temperatures also undergo natural cycles lasting sixty years or more. Perhaps a fifteen-year rise is part of one of those cycles.

That alternative gives us a reason to question the scientists' interpretation. It doesn't establish that human-caused warming is impossible, or even that a natural cycle explains this particular rise. We need to keep the climatologist's stated claim modest: the proposed conclusion is far from justified.

What we’re looking for

For the main-conclusion question, unpack “this conclusion.” It refers to the scientists' claim that the Pacific warming is a symptom of more general, human-caused warming. The climatologist's point is that this interpretation hasn't been adequately supported. The fact about natural cycles supplies the reason for that objection.

Working the answers

  • A

    The temperature rise is the observation both interpretations are trying to address. The climatologist doesn't mainly argue that it occurred; the passage starts by accepting it. The conclusion concerns what we are justified in inferring from it.

  • B

    This goes too far. Saying an interpretation hasn't been justified isn't the same as saying it is false. The climatologist questions the evidence for linking this local rise to human-caused global warming; B declares that the link doesn't exist.

  • C
    Correct

    This restates the exact strength and subject of the conclusion. The claim that these warming waters are a symptom of more general warming caused by human pollution is far from justified. C preserves the challenge to the inference without turning it into a denial of the phenomenon.

  • D

    This captures the alternative explanation suggested by the natural cycles. But why does the climatologist bring up that possibility? To challenge the scientists' interpretation. D gives a supporting idea and leaves out the conclusion that the interpretation is unjustified.

  • E

    The climatologist doesn't establish this either-or rule. A natural cycle contributing to the local warming wouldn't, by itself, rule out a contribution from broader human-caused warming as well. The stated conclusion questions the evidence; it doesn't claim that the two explanations are mutually exclusive.

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